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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.82+2.29vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.67+1.52vs Predicted
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3Amherst College0.53+2.80vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.98-1.01vs Predicted
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5McGill University0.06+1.84vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-0.14+1.23vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-0.08vs Predicted
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8Bates College0.28-1.74vs Predicted
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9Wesleyan University-2.63+1.92vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut-1.01-1.18vs Predicted
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11Fairfield University-2.92+0.21vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.35-7.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.29Salve Regina University1.820.2%1st Place
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3.52Yale University1.670.2%1st Place
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5.8Amherst College0.530.1%1st Place
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2.99Tufts University1.980.3%1st Place
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6.84McGill University0.060.0%1st Place
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7.23Middlebury College-0.140.0%1st Place
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6.92Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.0%1st Place
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6.26Bates College0.280.1%1st Place
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10.92Wesleyan University-2.630.0%1st Place
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8.82University of Connecticut-1.010.0%1st Place
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11.21Fairfield University-2.920.0%1st Place
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4.19University of Vermont1.350.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Vincens | 19.7% | 19.5% | 20.3% | 14.6% | 13.1% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 17.6% | 19.9% | 16.2% | 15.9% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Gibbs | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 15.6% | 13.5% | 9.6% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Holder | 25.2% | 23.0% | 17.6% | 13.4% | 10.3% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Baird | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 17.4% | 16.1% | 11.6% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 16.0% | 19.6% | 14.1% | 4.0% | 0.2% |
| Auguste Pizzano | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 17.4% | 16.1% | 12.1% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Jack Valentino | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 15.2% | 13.7% | 7.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Nalu Tripician | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 10.8% | 41.7% | 38.3% |
| Colby Brennan | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 16.0% | 33.1% | 16.8% | 3.3% |
| Matthew Little | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 6.5% | 29.8% | 57.2% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 13.3% | 12.4% | 15.1% | 16.4% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.