Race 6A

fairfield-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Nicholas Salvesen 12.9% 13.1% 14.6% 15.2% 14.5% 13.9% 7.7% 5.1% 2.0% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Grace Vincens 21.0% 21.9% 17.3% 15.1% 10.7% 7.6% 4.3% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Cameron Baird 4.3% 5.2% 4.0% 6.3% 8.7% 9.9% 12.8% 18.9% 16.6% 10.7% 2.5% 0.1%
Christophe Chaumont 18.5% 18.4% 18.9% 14.0% 12.0% 9.2% 5.7% 2.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Adam Gibbs 5.5% 6.3% 9.1% 9.6% 12.1% 13.3% 15.6% 12.2% 10.6% 4.9% 0.8% 0.0%
Chloe Holder 24.8% 21.7% 18.4% 14.1% 10.3% 5.7% 3.6% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Leshaw 3.5% 4.1% 4.7% 4.9% 7.3% 10.6% 12.4% 16.4% 17.5% 14.0% 3.9% 0.7%
Auguste Pizzano 3.3% 4.3% 5.2% 7.2% 7.6% 9.4% 14.1% 15.8% 16.8% 12.8% 3.2% 0.3%
Jack Valentino 4.0% 3.9% 6.0% 10.5% 12.8% 12.2% 15.8% 14.0% 13.6% 6.1% 1.0% 0.1%
Nalu Tripician 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.6% 0.7% 2.0% 1.7% 1.9% 3.6% 9.9% 40.5% 38.7%
Colby Brennan 1.8% 0.8% 1.3% 2.1% 2.9% 5.4% 5.3% 9.7% 14.7% 33.5% 18.8% 3.7%
Matthew Little 0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.8% 1.0% 1.3% 3.0% 6.6% 29.3% 56.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.