Race 7A

fairfield-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
George Sidamon-Eristoff 13.2% 14.1% 12.7% 13.7% 14.3% 12.2% 10.1% 5.9% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Christophe Chaumont 20.8% 20.5% 18.7% 13.7% 10.6% 8.9% 3.7% 2.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Salvesen 15.8% 15.9% 15.6% 12.1% 14.4% 12.6% 7.3% 4.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Grace Vincens 24.8% 22.9% 16.5% 14.5% 9.7% 6.3% 3.4% 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Adam Gibbs 6.8% 6.6% 9.1% 10.0% 13.1% 12.8% 13.2% 12.2% 9.1% 6.6% 0.5% 0.0%
Cameron Baird 4.1% 5.0% 5.0% 7.3% 7.8% 9.6% 16.3% 15.6% 15.5% 11.1% 2.5% 0.2%
Jack Valentino 5.5% 5.9% 7.8% 9.6% 10.3% 11.5% 13.0% 14.6% 12.5% 7.4% 1.9% 0.0%
Nicholas Leshaw 4.0% 3.8% 4.9% 7.8% 6.7% 9.2% 11.4% 15.3% 18.0% 14.4% 4.3% 0.2%
Auguste Pizzano 3.0% 3.2% 5.7% 7.1% 9.7% 10.3% 13.7% 16.4% 17.0% 11.4% 2.5% 0.0%
Colby Brennan 1.2% 1.8% 2.7% 3.4% 2.5% 4.5% 6.0% 9.9% 16.6% 32.3% 15.6% 3.5%
Matthew Little 0.5% 0.1% 0.6% 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 0.8% 0.9% 2.4% 6.3% 32.0% 54.9%
Nalu Tripician 0.3% 0.2% 0.7% 0.4% 0.4% 1.5% 1.1% 2.2% 2.9% 8.7% 40.4% 41.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.