Race 8A

fairfield-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Christophe Chaumont 20.3% 18.6% 18.5% 15.6% 11.7% 7.7% 4.8% 1.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Nicholas Salvesen 14.7% 17.2% 14.4% 15.4% 12.4% 11.9% 7.2% 4.8% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Adam Gibbs 8.0% 6.5% 8.4% 10.0% 10.0% 15.1% 14.7% 13.4% 9.0% 4.2% 0.7% 0.0%
Grace Vincens 24.5% 23.3% 16.2% 12.8% 10.9% 5.8% 4.3% 1.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
George Sidamon-Eristoff 14.2% 12.0% 16.1% 14.4% 14.7% 9.8% 8.5% 5.8% 3.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Jack Valentino 4.9% 6.6% 7.3% 7.8% 9.6% 13.0% 14.3% 13.7% 12.9% 8.4% 1.3% 0.2%
Auguste Pizzano 4.4% 5.1% 5.0% 5.6% 9.8% 9.7% 13.2% 14.4% 16.3% 12.4% 3.8% 0.3%
Cameron Baird 4.6% 4.4% 6.3% 7.8% 8.3% 10.8% 12.5% 15.3% 16.3% 10.2% 3.4% 0.1%
Nicholas Leshaw 2.6% 3.6% 4.9% 6.4% 7.8% 10.3% 12.8% 18.5% 16.9% 12.9% 3.3% 0.0%
Colby Brennan 1.0% 2.3% 1.8% 3.2% 3.6% 4.4% 5.9% 8.4% 16.6% 33.4% 15.9% 3.5%
Nalu Tripician 0.5% 0.3% 0.3% 0.9% 0.7% 0.8% 0.7% 1.7% 3.3% 9.8% 40.7% 40.3%
Matthew Little 0.3% 0.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.5% 0.7% 1.1% 0.6% 2.9% 6.7% 30.6% 55.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.