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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.35+2.97vs Predicted
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2Bates College0.28+4.22vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College-0.14+4.06vs Predicted
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4Amherst College0.53+1.75vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+1.94vs Predicted
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6Yale University1.67-2.68vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.82-3.94vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.21-3.77vs Predicted
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9McGill University0.06-2.40vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut-1.01-1.26vs Predicted
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11Wesleyan University-2.63-0.08vs Predicted
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12Fairfield University-2.92-0.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.97University of Vermont1.350.1%1st Place
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6.22Bates College0.280.0%1st Place
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7.06Middlebury College-0.140.0%1st Place
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5.75Amherst College0.530.1%1st Place
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6.94Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.0%1st Place
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3.32Yale University1.670.2%1st Place
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3.06Salve Regina University1.820.3%1st Place
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4.23Tufts University1.210.1%1st Place
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6.6McGill University0.060.0%1st Place
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8.74University of Connecticut-1.010.0%1st Place
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10.92Wesleyan University-2.630.0%1st Place
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11.19Fairfield University-2.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Salvesen | 15.0% | 15.6% | 14.3% | 17.2% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack Valentino | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 15.4% | 12.6% | 7.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 15.7% | 19.6% | 14.1% | 4.1% | 0.3% |
| Adam Gibbs | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 14.9% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 4.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Auguste Pizzano | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 15.7% | 14.3% | 16.2% | 13.0% | 3.6% | 0.3% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 21.0% | 19.8% | 19.3% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Vincens | 25.2% | 21.9% | 17.4% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Sidamon-Eristoff | 14.7% | 14.3% | 14.5% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Baird | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 15.3% | 14.8% | 15.5% | 9.2% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Colby Brennan | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 34.3% | 15.8% | 3.4% |
| Nalu Tripician | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 9.5% | 41.2% | 40.4% |
| Matthew Little | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 31.0% | 55.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.