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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.67+2.35vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.35+1.95vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.82+0.07vs Predicted
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4McGill University0.06+2.74vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.21-0.74vs Predicted
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6Bates College0.28+0.28vs Predicted
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7Amherst College0.53-1.38vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut-1.01+0.72vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-0.14-1.95vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-3.14vs Predicted
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11Fairfield University-2.92+0.15vs Predicted
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12Wesleyan University-2.63-1.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.35Yale University1.670.2%1st Place
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3.95University of Vermont1.350.1%1st Place
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3.07Salve Regina University1.820.2%1st Place
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6.74McGill University0.060.0%1st Place
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4.26Tufts University1.210.1%1st Place
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6.28Bates College0.280.1%1st Place
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5.62Amherst College0.530.1%1st Place
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8.72University of Connecticut-1.010.0%1st Place
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7.05Middlebury College-0.140.0%1st Place
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6.86Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.0%1st Place
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11.15Fairfield University-2.920.0%1st Place
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10.95Wesleyan University-2.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christophe Chaumont | 21.7% | 16.8% | 20.0% | 16.4% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Salvesen | 14.6% | 16.8% | 16.7% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Vincens | 24.4% | 22.4% | 17.1% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Baird | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 15.0% | 17.4% | 10.3% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| George Sidamon-Eristoff | 13.3% | 14.7% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Valentino | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 16.9% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Adam Gibbs | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Colby Brennan | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 10.3% | 14.8% | 30.8% | 18.6% | 2.7% |
| Nicholas Leshaw | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 16.4% | 16.6% | 14.0% | 2.8% | 0.1% |
| Auguste Pizzano | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 15.5% | 17.3% | 12.8% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Little | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 6.8% | 30.8% | 55.0% |
| Nalu Tripician | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 8.6% | 40.3% | 41.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.