Race 2B

fairfield-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Nils Tullberg 33.1% 26.9% 18.0% 10.7% 6.6% 2.9% 1.1% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elena Gonick 15.0% 18.1% 17.1% 17.5% 12.0% 10.8% 6.1% 2.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Hamilton 19.0% 17.0% 18.9% 16.2% 13.6% 8.9% 4.1% 1.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacob Asher 4.5% 5.5% 7.7% 12.6% 12.5% 13.7% 16.4% 13.1% 9.6% 3.7% 0.6% 0.1%
Ned Herrington 2.4% 3.9% 5.7% 5.5% 8.3% 11.2% 14.7% 17.7% 15.9% 11.3% 3.2% 0.2%
Noah Ferrarotto 12.8% 14.1% 14.0% 15.7% 16.2% 12.0% 8.5% 4.8% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
David Perez 5.9% 7.3% 7.5% 11.1% 12.2% 14.6% 16.8% 13.4% 6.7% 3.6% 0.9% 0.0%
Owen Daniell 3.8% 5.0% 6.5% 5.4% 10.0% 11.9% 15.6% 16.4% 15.6% 6.3% 3.5% 0.0%
John Stalzer 1.7% 0.9% 2.5% 2.2% 3.9% 8.2% 9.3% 16.0% 20.3% 23.5% 11.0% 0.5%
Katherine Boback 0.5% 0.5% 1.0% 1.8% 3.2% 2.6% 2.4% 6.1% 13.5% 21.2% 43.4% 3.8%
Grace Hering 1.2% 0.6% 1.1% 1.2% 1.3% 3.2% 4.7% 7.1% 14.7% 27.8% 33.5% 3.6%
Joe Blackburn 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 2.2% 3.9% 91.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.