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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State University0.27+1.65vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University0.01+0.98vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology-0.29+0.52vs Predicted
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4University of Rochester-1.53+1.68vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-0.61-0.91vs Predicted
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6Hamilton College-1.45-0.53vs Predicted
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7Indiana University of Pennsylvania-1.83-0.95vs Predicted
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8Colgate University-1.54-2.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.65Penn State University0.2730.1%1st Place
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2.98Syracuse University0.0122.7%1st Place
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3.52Rochester Institute of Technology-0.2917.2%1st Place
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5.68University of Rochester-1.533.8%1st Place
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4.09Syracuse University-0.6111.3%1st Place
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5.47Hamilton College-1.455.5%1st Place
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6.05Indiana University of Pennsylvania-1.834.8%1st Place
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5.56Colgate University-1.544.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Murphy | 30.1% | 23.9% | 18.1% | 13.4% | 9.0% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 22.7% | 22.6% | 20.0% | 15.8% | 10.5% | 6.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Alden Burt | 17.2% | 16.7% | 19.0% | 16.6% | 14.3% | 9.7% | 5.0% | 1.7% |
| Carlos Lopez | 3.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 17.9% | 21.5% | 21.6% |
| Caitlin DeLessio | 11.3% | 13.3% | 15.3% | 17.3% | 17.2% | 12.7% | 9.3% | 3.6% |
| Reid Chapman | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 17.4% | 19.7% | 19.5% |
| Serena Aumick | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 15.6% | 21.6% | 31.7% |
| Stew Adams | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 14.1% | 17.1% | 19.8% | 20.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.