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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University4.31+6.44vs Predicted
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2University of Miami3.99+6.84vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.92+6.22vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.30+7.94vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.30+7.23vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy4.09+2.32vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University4.33+0.40vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+1.59vs Predicted
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9Harvard University4.17-1.17vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.80-0.44vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.64-0.61vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.56-0.90vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.79+0.76vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University2.54+1.05vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96-6.13vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-6.84vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida3.49-6.01vs Predicted
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18Boston University3.63-7.78vs Predicted
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19Stanford University4.05-10.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.44Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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8.84University of Miami3.990.1%1st Place
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9.22University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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11.94Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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12.23U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.300.0%1st Place
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8.32U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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7.4Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
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9.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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7.83Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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9.56Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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10.39College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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11.1Tufts University3.560.0%1st Place
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13.76University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
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15.05Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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8.87St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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9.16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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10.99University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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10.22Boston University3.630.0%1st Place
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8.1Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Bouchard | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Voss | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% |
| Amy Hawkins | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 2.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 7.7% |
| Nick Aswad | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.7% |
| Clark Hayes | 9.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Scott Furnary | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Austen Anderson | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% |
| John Stokes | 7.9% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Mac Mace | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 2.8% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.1% |
| Amanda Johnson | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 19.5% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 32.7% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% |
| Will Stocke | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 4.9% |
| Daniel Perkins | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 3.4% |
| Kevin Laube | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.