Race 6B

fairfield-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Ryan Hamilton 17.7% 17.0% 20.0% 17.1% 13.1% 8.0% 4.0% 2.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Nils Tullberg 32.6% 28.4% 14.6% 12.9% 6.3% 3.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Noah Ferrarotto 12.9% 12.8% 16.4% 14.0% 16.4% 14.1% 7.5% 4.7% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacob Asher 4.2% 6.6% 7.2% 11.7% 12.9% 14.7% 15.2% 14.1% 9.4% 3.0% 0.9% 0.1%
Owen Daniell 3.7% 3.8% 6.0% 6.5% 10.3% 11.9% 15.4% 16.4% 13.9% 9.1% 2.9% 0.1%
David Perez 5.2% 6.5% 9.2% 8.5% 13.2% 14.3% 16.5% 14.4% 7.4% 4.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Ned Herrington 2.9% 5.2% 4.1% 7.1% 7.5% 12.5% 14.2% 17.2% 17.6% 8.2% 3.4% 0.1%
Elena Gonick 17.9% 17.4% 18.0% 15.5% 12.8% 8.8% 6.0% 2.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
John Stalzer 1.6% 0.9% 2.3% 3.1% 3.5% 6.0% 11.2% 15.7% 21.5% 22.5% 11.2% 0.5%
Katherine Boback 0.3% 0.5% 1.0% 2.1% 2.7% 3.1% 2.9% 5.9% 12.1% 22.4% 43.2% 3.8%
Grace Hering 0.9% 0.8% 1.1% 1.3% 1.2% 3.1% 5.4% 6.3% 14.5% 27.8% 34.1% 3.5%
Joe Blackburn 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.6% 0.6% 2.3% 3.8% 91.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.