Race 7B

fairfield-cup

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

91.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Nils Tullberg 34.2% 26.3% 18.4% 11.4% 5.8% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Hamilton 17.4% 21.0% 18.0% 16.8% 10.9% 9.7% 4.6% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Noah Ferrarotto 13.8% 11.9% 16.9% 15.1% 15.0% 14.2% 8.7% 3.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Elena Gonick 15.5% 18.3% 19.1% 15.3% 15.5% 8.7% 4.9% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacob Asher 5.4% 6.3% 7.6% 11.3% 13.3% 15.8% 16.5% 13.8% 8.4% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0%
David Perez 5.6% 6.8% 8.3% 10.5% 13.1% 16.0% 16.1% 16.1% 5.8% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Owen Daniell 3.9% 5.0% 5.4% 7.7% 10.0% 12.6% 18.7% 19.8% 12.7% 3.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Grace Hering 0.7% 0.8% 1.3% 1.7% 3.0% 3.5% 6.4% 9.9% 27.4% 39.3% 6.0% 0.0%
Ned Herrington 2.9% 2.7% 3.6% 7.3% 9.8% 14.5% 17.9% 22.4% 14.2% 4.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Sarah Bowman 0.5% 0.6% 1.2% 2.7% 3.2% 2.2% 4.6% 9.8% 27.6% 42.0% 5.4% 0.2%
Joe Blackburn 0.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.5% 0.6% 1.8% 4.1% 55.6% 36.6%
Nicolas Jorden 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 2.7% 32.4% 63.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.