Race 8B

fairfield-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Noah Ferrarotto 11.8% 14.1% 14.3% 15.7% 17.9% 14.0% 7.6% 3.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
David Perez 4.8% 5.7% 8.9% 11.6% 14.2% 15.9% 17.4% 13.9% 6.8% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Hamilton 19.5% 17.9% 18.6% 16.4% 13.0% 7.9% 4.5% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nils Tullberg 33.3% 27.9% 17.3% 12.1% 5.5% 2.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elena Gonick 16.9% 17.4% 19.4% 15.9% 12.5% 8.5% 6.6% 2.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacob Asher 5.0% 6.2% 8.6% 10.1% 12.9% 18.9% 16.0% 13.4% 7.4% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Owen Daniell 3.7% 4.9% 6.1% 7.6% 9.4% 13.4% 19.6% 18.6% 12.3% 4.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Ned Herrington 3.5% 4.4% 4.3% 7.7% 8.9% 11.8% 16.0% 23.4% 14.3% 5.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Grace Hering 1.2% 0.8% 0.7% 1.0% 2.2% 3.2% 6.3% 12.4% 28.3% 39.3% 4.6% 0.0%
Sarah Bowman 0.3% 0.5% 1.5% 1.8% 3.0% 3.5% 4.5% 8.9% 27.9% 42.0% 5.9% 0.2%
Joe Blackburn 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.4% 0.9% 1.0% 4.5% 55.7% 36.6%
Nicolas Jorden 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.3% 0.6% 2.3% 33.0% 63.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.