Race 9B

fairfield-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Ryan Hamilton 19.2% 17.7% 18.9% 18.5% 11.0% 7.5% 5.3% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Noah Ferrarotto 11.8% 14.1% 17.9% 15.2% 15.5% 11.3% 9.1% 4.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Nils Tullberg 35.7% 26.4% 16.0% 11.1% 7.4% 2.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ned Herrington 2.4% 3.5% 4.4% 5.2% 10.6% 13.7% 17.2% 22.3% 14.7% 5.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Elena Gonick 16.2% 19.5% 15.8% 16.8% 12.5% 9.5% 6.1% 3.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacob Asher 4.9% 6.5% 8.7% 9.7% 13.0% 17.1% 17.1% 14.3% 7.1% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Owen Daniell 3.8% 5.0% 6.1% 7.4% 8.6% 15.0% 15.2% 23.2% 11.4% 4.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Grace Hering 0.6% 0.4% 1.4% 2.1% 2.2% 4.9% 5.8% 8.9% 28.8% 39.0% 5.9% 0.0%
David Perez 5.0% 5.4% 9.7% 12.4% 15.9% 15.2% 16.6% 12.8% 5.9% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sarah Bowman 0.4% 1.0% 1.0% 1.6% 2.9% 3.1% 6.0% 8.4% 28.1% 42.0% 5.3% 0.2%
Joe Blackburn 0.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.2% 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 1.8% 4.1% 55.6% 36.6%
Nicolas Jorden 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.3% 0.8% 2.6% 32.4% 63.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.