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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State University0.27+1.64vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology-0.29+1.48vs Predicted
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3Hamilton College-1.45+2.50vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University0.01-1.03vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-0.61-0.91vs Predicted
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6Indiana University of Pennsylvania-1.83+0.11vs Predicted
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7Colgate University-1.54-1.42vs Predicted
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8University of Rochester-1.53-2.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.64Penn State University0.2728.9%1st Place
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3.48Rochester Institute of Technology-0.2917.6%1st Place
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5.5Hamilton College-1.454.8%1st Place
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2.97Syracuse University0.0123.5%1st Place
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4.09Syracuse University-0.6111.4%1st Place
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6.11Indiana University of Pennsylvania-1.833.5%1st Place
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5.58Colgate University-1.545.6%1st Place
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5.63University of Rochester-1.534.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Murphy | 28.9% | 23.8% | 20.8% | 14.1% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Alden Burt | 17.6% | 17.9% | 17.1% | 17.2% | 13.7% | 10.4% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Reid Chapman | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 18.4% | 19.4% | 19.4% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 23.5% | 22.4% | 19.5% | 15.4% | 10.5% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Caitlin DeLessio | 11.4% | 13.1% | 15.8% | 17.3% | 16.0% | 13.7% | 9.1% | 3.7% |
| Serena Aumick | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 11.5% | 15.4% | 21.4% | 32.2% |
| Stew Adams | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 15.1% | 16.3% | 20.7% | 20.6% |
| Carlos Lopez | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 16.7% | 21.1% | 21.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.