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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.64+9.39vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+7.35vs Predicted
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3University of Miami3.99+5.93vs Predicted
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4Harvard University4.17+4.01vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University4.31+2.59vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.92+3.07vs Predicted
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7Stanford University4.05+1.56vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.80+1.86vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University4.33-1.78vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96-1.20vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University3.30+0.96vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.30+0.26vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida3.49-2.16vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy4.09-5.51vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.56-4.39vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-6.85vs Predicted
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17Boston University3.63-6.60vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University2.54-3.11vs Predicted
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19University of Pennsylvania2.79-5.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.39College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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9.35Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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8.93University of Miami3.990.1%1st Place
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8.01Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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7.59Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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9.07University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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8.56Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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9.86Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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7.22Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
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8.8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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11.96Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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12.26U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.300.0%1st Place
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10.84University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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8.49U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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10.61Tufts University3.560.0%1st Place
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9.15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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10.4Boston University3.630.0%1st Place
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14.89Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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13.62University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mac Mace | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% |
| Austen Anderson | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| Nicholas Voss | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% |
| John Stokes | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Sean Bouchard | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Amy Hawkins | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| Kevin Laube | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.7% |
| Scott Furnary | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.9% |
| Nick Aswad | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% |
| Will Stocke | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.6% |
| Clark Hayes | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Daniel Perkins | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 3.8% |
| Robert Lippincott | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 13.6% | 31.0% |
| Amanda Johnson | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 14.8% | 17.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.