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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Texas-0.45+4.27vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.47+0.01vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.12+1.14vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University-0.70+1.83vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.48+2.32vs Predicted
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6University of Texas0.65-2.85vs Predicted
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7University of North Texas-0.43-2.02vs Predicted
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8Loyola University New Orleans-1.96+0.17vs Predicted
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9University of Central Oklahoma-2.28-0.08vs Predicted
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10Baylor University-1.78-2.16vs Predicted
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11Loyola University New Orleans-2.09-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.27University of Texas-0.450.0%1st Place
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2.01University of Wisconsin1.470.4%1st Place
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4.14Western Washington University0.120.1%1st Place
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5.83Texas A&M University-0.700.0%1st Place
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7.32Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.480.0%1st Place
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3.15University of Texas0.650.2%1st Place
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4.98University of North Texas-0.430.1%1st Place
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8.17Loyola University New Orleans-1.960.0%1st Place
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8.92University of Central Oklahoma-2.280.0%1st Place
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7.84Baylor University-1.780.0%1st Place
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8.38Loyola University New Orleans-2.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frederik Winguth | 4.9% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 15.2% | 16.4% | 14.4% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Jacob Macdonald | 44.9% | 27.3% | 15.6% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Niko Twilla | 10.4% | 14.0% | 17.5% | 15.5% | 17.7% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lyndsey Sager | 4.3% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 14.9% | 15.3% | 12.9% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 1.5% |
| Marisa Soto | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 15.6% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 9.3% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 18.6% | 25.5% | 19.4% | 15.4% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meri Keskimaula | 8.0% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 13.3% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Sydney Rockwell | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 15.4% | 14.7% | 19.2% | 18.7% |
| David Harlin | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 15.6% | 19.9% | 33.4% |
| brock Peloquin | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 18.3% | 16.9% | 14.0% |
| Natalie Kulka | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 16.0% | 20.4% | 21.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.