← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Wisconsin1.47+0.85vs Predicted
-
2University of North Texas-0.43+2.56vs Predicted
-
3Western Washington University-0.71+2.34vs Predicted
-
4Texas A&M University-0.70+1.34vs Predicted
-
5University of Texas-1.12+1.07vs Predicted
-
6University of Texas0.56-3.04vs Predicted
-
7Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.48-0.29vs Predicted
-
8Loyola University New Orleans-1.96-0.26vs Predicted
-
9University of Central Oklahoma-2.28-0.45vs Predicted
-
10Loyola University New Orleans-2.09-1.96vs Predicted
-
11Baylor University-2.55-2.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.85University of Wisconsin1.470.5%1st Place
-
4.56University of North Texas-0.430.1%1st Place
-
5.34Western Washington University-0.710.1%1st Place
-
5.34Texas A&M University-0.700.1%1st Place
-
6.07University of Texas-1.120.0%1st Place
-
2.96University of Texas0.560.2%1st Place
-
6.71Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.480.0%1st Place
-
7.74Loyola University New Orleans-1.960.0%1st Place
-
8.55University of Central Oklahoma-2.280.0%1st Place
-
8.04Loyola University New Orleans-2.090.0%1st Place
-
8.83Baylor University-2.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Macdonald | 48.3% | 29.1% | 14.6% | 6.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meri Keskimaula | 8.1% | 10.9% | 14.6% | 18.0% | 16.5% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Amber Crabb | 5.6% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 15.8% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Lyndsey Sager | 5.3% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 14.6% | 16.4% | 14.2% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Gabriella Wong | 4.4% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 2.3% |
| John Mason | 19.5% | 27.6% | 22.1% | 13.6% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marisa Soto | 3.2% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 15.0% | 13.7% | 8.8% | 5.8% |
| Sydney Rockwell | 2.1% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 16.8% | 15.4% |
| David Harlin | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 16.6% | 20.2% | 26.1% |
| Natalie Kulka | 1.3% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 16.0% | 19.9% | 16.6% |
| Daniela Zirkle | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 19.7% | 32.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.