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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.47+0.84vs Predicted
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2University of North Texas-0.43+2.58vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.71+2.36vs Predicted
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4University of Texas-1.12+2.25vs Predicted
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5University of Texas0.56-2.07vs Predicted
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6Baylor University-2.55+3.00vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.48-0.28vs Predicted
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8University of Central Oklahoma-2.28+0.38vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University-0.70-3.78vs Predicted
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10Loyola University New Orleans-1.96-2.24vs Predicted
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11Loyola University New Orleans-2.09-3.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.84University of Wisconsin1.470.5%1st Place
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4.58University of North Texas-0.430.1%1st Place
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5.36Western Washington University-0.710.1%1st Place
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6.25University of Texas-1.120.0%1st Place
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2.93University of Texas0.560.2%1st Place
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9.0Baylor University-2.550.0%1st Place
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6.72Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.480.0%1st Place
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8.38University of Central Oklahoma-2.280.0%1st Place
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5.22Texas A&M University-0.700.1%1st Place
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7.76Loyola University New Orleans-1.960.0%1st Place
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7.96Loyola University New Orleans-2.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Macdonald | 49.3% | 27.9% | 15.3% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meri Keskimaula | 7.4% | 11.3% | 15.5% | 17.7% | 15.2% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Amber Crabb | 5.9% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 16.3% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Gabriella Wong | 3.4% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 15.1% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 6.2% | 3.5% |
| John Mason | 20.7% | 26.5% | 22.2% | 13.9% | 8.7% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniela Zirkle | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 19.7% | 36.9% |
| Marisa Soto | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 13.8% | 9.2% | 5.7% |
| David Harlin | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 14.7% | 20.4% | 22.9% |
| Lyndsey Sager | 5.8% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 15.7% | 14.6% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Sydney Rockwell | 1.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 14.9% | 18.1% | 14.2% |
| Natalie Kulka | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 16.5% | 20.1% | 15.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.