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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.47+1.00vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.12+2.03vs Predicted
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3University of Texas0.65+0.23vs Predicted
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4University of Texas-0.45+1.31vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University-0.70+0.67vs Predicted
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6University of North Texas-0.43-0.83vs Predicted
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7Baylor University-1.78+0.78vs Predicted
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8University of Central Oklahoma-2.28+0.83vs Predicted
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9Loyola University New Orleans-1.96-0.62vs Predicted
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10Loyola University New Orleans-2.09-1.57vs Predicted
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11Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.48-3.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.0University of Wisconsin1.470.5%1st Place
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4.03Western Washington University0.120.1%1st Place
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3.23University of Texas0.650.2%1st Place
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5.31University of Texas-0.450.1%1st Place
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5.67Texas A&M University-0.700.1%1st Place
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5.17University of North Texas-0.430.1%1st Place
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7.78Baylor University-1.780.0%1st Place
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8.83University of Central Oklahoma-2.280.0%1st Place
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8.38Loyola University New Orleans-1.960.0%1st Place
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8.43Loyola University New Orleans-2.090.0%1st Place
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7.16Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Macdonald | 45.5% | 25.6% | 16.6% | 9.1% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Niko Twilla | 12.1% | 14.2% | 17.7% | 17.5% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 17.3% | 23.3% | 20.4% | 16.1% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Frederik Winguth | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 16.9% | 17.0% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Lyndsey Sager | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 1.0% |
| Meri Keskimaula | 5.7% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 14.7% | 12.9% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| brock Peloquin | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 14.1% | 16.4% | 17.3% | 13.8% |
| David Harlin | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 14.4% | 19.9% | 31.0% |
| Sydney Rockwell | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 12.9% | 17.0% | 19.7% | 21.9% |
| Natalie Kulka | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 15.9% | 19.3% | 24.0% |
| Marisa Soto | 2.0% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 15.5% | 13.9% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.