Race 1A

luce

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Pierre Thibodeau 22.2% 21.5% 16.2% 15.6% 9.3% 7.9% 3.7% 2.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Mraz 21.8% 19.9% 18.0% 12.8% 11.8% 7.4% 3.8% 2.5% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stanley Galloway 2.3% 1.6% 2.9% 3.8% 5.4% 7.0% 8.2% 8.5% 10.2% 16.0% 18.6% 14.0% 1.5% 0.0%
Christopher Magno 3.3% 4.6% 4.6% 5.6% 8.3% 9.5% 9.4% 11.5% 12.2% 11.8% 12.5% 6.0% 0.7% 0.0%
Owen Ward 5.4% 6.4% 6.4% 9.0% 9.8% 9.9% 9.9% 11.6% 12.1% 10.0% 6.3% 2.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Cole Daitch 5.3% 4.1% 6.9% 7.5% 8.1% 10.0% 10.5% 11.7% 12.8% 10.2% 8.8% 3.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Jeremy McCauley 9.8% 9.2% 11.1% 11.7% 10.4% 12.2% 10.9% 9.7% 7.4% 4.7% 2.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Constantyn van der Voort 2.5% 3.6% 3.6% 3.7% 5.8% 5.6% 9.8% 9.2% 11.5% 13.7% 17.1% 13.1% 0.8% 0.0%
Christopher Magno 3.3% 4.6% 4.6% 5.6% 8.3% 9.5% 9.4% 11.5% 12.2% 11.8% 12.5% 6.0% 0.7% 0.0%
Madeline DelVescovo 3.2% 4.5% 4.6% 5.0% 8.0% 8.1% 11.0% 10.6% 12.7% 12.9% 11.8% 6.7% 0.9% 0.0%
Stewart Gurnell 18.2% 16.4% 17.2% 12.9% 11.5% 9.1% 6.7% 3.6% 3.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Scott McKinney 5.0% 7.0% 7.5% 10.0% 8.8% 10.8% 11.6% 13.5% 8.9% 9.2% 5.1% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Dane Brazinski 0.8% 0.9% 1.0% 2.3% 2.3% 2.2% 4.1% 4.7% 6.1% 8.4% 14.3% 43.5% 9.4% 0.0%
Clara Bartram 0.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1% 0.5% 0.3% 0.4% 0.7% 0.9% 1.2% 2.2% 7.5% 85.7% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.