Race 2A

luce

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Pierre Thibodeau 23.0% 19.3% 18.8% 13.4% 10.2% 6.9% 4.3% 2.7% 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Magno 3.7% 4.1% 5.2% 6.0% 7.9% 6.7% 10.9% 10.6% 13.2% 13.5% 11.7% 5.7% 0.8% 0.0%
Christopher Magno 3.7% 4.1% 5.2% 6.0% 7.9% 6.7% 10.9% 10.6% 13.2% 13.5% 11.7% 5.7% 0.8% 0.0%
Jeremy McCauley 7.2% 9.6% 10.8% 11.8% 10.4% 13.9% 10.5% 9.6% 8.2% 5.0% 2.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Scott McKinney 5.3% 5.8% 7.2% 8.4% 10.3% 10.2% 10.5% 11.8% 9.8% 10.8% 7.0% 2.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Stewart Gurnell 18.4% 16.6% 15.9% 15.0% 11.1% 9.1% 6.7% 3.9% 2.2% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Owen Ward 5.4% 7.0% 5.9% 7.6% 9.9% 9.3% 14.3% 9.9% 10.6% 9.4% 7.1% 3.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Stanley Galloway 3.3% 3.7% 2.0% 5.6% 5.1% 7.0% 5.9% 8.5% 11.0% 14.2% 18.4% 13.6% 1.7% 0.0%
Cole Daitch 4.3% 7.0% 5.2% 7.6% 8.0% 9.8% 11.3% 12.4% 12.8% 9.9% 7.9% 3.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Connor Mraz 22.1% 19.3% 18.4% 12.3% 10.7% 8.2% 4.8% 2.8% 0.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Madeline DelVescovo 4.3% 4.3% 4.6% 5.3% 7.9% 9.1% 9.0% 12.2% 11.9% 10.8% 13.0% 6.9% 0.7% 0.0%
Constantyn van der Voort 1.9% 2.4% 4.4% 5.2% 6.1% 6.9% 7.7% 10.2% 11.9% 14.8% 16.0% 11.2% 1.3% 0.0%
Dane Brazinski 1.0% 0.7% 1.6% 1.4% 2.1% 2.8% 3.8% 4.8% 5.9% 8.5% 13.6% 44.4% 9.4% 0.0%
Clara Bartram 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 1.2% 1.0% 2.6% 8.0% 85.2% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.