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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University0.71+1.55vs Predicted
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2Penn State University0.27+1.22vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University0.01+0.67vs Predicted
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4Hamilton College-1.45+2.37vs Predicted
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5University of Rochester-1.53+1.54vs Predicted
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6Rochester Institute of Technology-0.29-1.83vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-0.61-2.16vs Predicted
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8Colgate University-1.54-1.43vs Predicted
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9Indiana University of Pennsylvania-1.83-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.55Queen's University0.7131.0%1st Place
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3.22Penn State University0.2720.9%1st Place
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3.67Syracuse University0.0115.3%1st Place
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6.37Hamilton College-1.453.8%1st Place
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6.54University of Rochester-1.533.6%1st Place
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4.17Rochester Institute of Technology-0.2912.1%1st Place
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4.84Syracuse University-0.617.6%1st Place
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6.57Colgate University-1.543.1%1st Place
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7.07Indiana University of Pennsylvania-1.832.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Elia | 31.0% | 27.0% | 18.2% | 11.7% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Murphy | 20.9% | 19.7% | 19.2% | 15.3% | 12.8% | 7.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 15.3% | 16.2% | 17.5% | 19.0% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Reid Chapman | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 18.2% | 20.0% | 18.4% |
| Carlos Lopez | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 13.9% | 16.6% | 21.6% | 20.8% |
| Alden Burt | 12.1% | 13.2% | 15.3% | 15.3% | 15.8% | 13.1% | 9.3% | 4.7% | 1.3% |
| Caitlin DeLessio | 7.6% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 14.7% | 15.4% | 16.1% | 13.8% | 8.6% | 2.9% |
| Stew Adams | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 17.9% | 20.3% | 21.1% |
| Serena Aumick | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 14.1% | 21.3% | 34.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.