Race 3A

luce

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Pierre Thibodeau 23.5% 20.9% 16.6% 14.1% 10.5% 6.6% 4.2% 1.9% 1.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cole Daitch 4.4% 5.5% 4.6% 8.3% 7.7% 11.0% 10.4% 12.5% 13.0% 10.7% 8.2% 3.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Connor Mraz 21.6% 19.5% 18.1% 14.8% 9.8% 7.3% 5.1% 1.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jeremy McCauley 8.5% 8.5% 11.0% 11.5% 11.3% 12.3% 11.3% 10.4% 7.2% 5.1% 2.2% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Magno 4.4% 4.1% 5.0% 6.1% 8.4% 9.1% 8.9% 11.2% 13.2% 12.1% 11.8% 5.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Scott McKinney 5.6% 6.6% 6.2% 8.6% 10.9% 10.4% 13.5% 10.6% 8.5% 8.1% 8.3% 2.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Magno 4.4% 4.1% 5.0% 6.1% 8.4% 9.1% 8.9% 11.2% 13.2% 12.1% 11.8% 5.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Owen Ward 5.5% 6.5% 8.2% 7.6% 7.4% 10.3% 12.1% 11.5% 11.3% 9.4% 7.4% 2.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Stewart Gurnell 17.7% 16.5% 16.9% 12.2% 14.7% 10.3% 4.7% 3.3% 2.6% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stanley Galloway 2.1% 3.1% 3.7% 3.8% 4.4% 5.3% 6.2% 10.5% 10.3% 15.4% 19.0% 15.4% 0.8% 0.0%
Constantyn van der Voort 2.9% 3.2% 3.0% 4.5% 6.1% 5.2% 8.1% 9.6% 12.3% 15.9% 15.6% 12.8% 0.8% 0.0%
Madeline DelVescovo 3.0% 4.4% 5.6% 7.4% 6.6% 9.0% 11.4% 12.2% 12.1% 10.9% 11.9% 5.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Dane Brazinski 0.8% 0.9% 1.1% 1.1% 2.2% 3.0% 4.0% 4.3% 6.4% 10.0% 14.9% 48.3% 3.0% 0.0%
James Nichols 0.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.5% 3.0% 94.8% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.