Race 4A

luce

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Pierre Thibodeau 23.3% 20.7% 17.8% 12.9% 11.4% 7.7% 2.7% 1.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cole Daitch 4.9% 5.0% 5.6% 7.7% 8.3% 11.0% 11.1% 11.8% 12.8% 12.4% 8.7% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Stewart Gurnell 18.1% 17.0% 15.2% 14.6% 12.2% 9.4% 7.1% 3.3% 2.0% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jeremy McCauley 8.1% 9.4% 10.3% 14.4% 10.8% 11.3% 11.2% 9.6% 8.2% 4.7% 1.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Owen Ward 5.3% 6.4% 8.2% 7.9% 9.7% 10.1% 11.7% 11.6% 11.2% 9.9% 7.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Christopher Magno 3.6% 5.3% 4.2% 4.8% 9.5% 9.8% 10.5% 11.9% 13.9% 13.7% 11.7% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Scott McKinney 6.2% 6.7% 7.8% 7.1% 9.4% 10.6% 12.9% 11.6% 11.5% 9.0% 6.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Constantyn van der Voort 1.9% 3.4% 4.1% 4.9% 4.7% 6.4% 8.4% 11.3% 13.0% 17.0% 22.7% 2.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Connor Mraz 22.0% 19.5% 17.7% 14.7% 10.1% 7.6% 4.3% 2.8% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Magno 3.6% 5.3% 4.2% 4.8% 9.5% 9.8% 10.5% 11.9% 13.9% 13.7% 11.7% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Madeline DelVescovo 4.2% 4.5% 4.3% 5.6% 8.7% 9.2% 11.4% 11.7% 11.7% 14.6% 13.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Stanley Galloway 2.2% 2.0% 4.7% 5.1% 5.0% 6.3% 8.2% 12.0% 12.3% 15.5% 24.1% 2.5% 0.1% 0.0%
William Harrington 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.6% 1.6% 2.3% 61.2% 32.7% 0.0%
James Nichols 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.9% 30.5% 66.9% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.