Race 5A

luce

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Michael Munger 28.6% 25.2% 16.3% 12.7% 9.3% 4.4% 1.8% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Scott McKinney 4.6% 5.5% 6.3% 9.9% 9.8% 11.3% 13.2% 11.6% 11.7% 9.4% 6.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Mraz 20.2% 19.3% 17.5% 15.5% 11.3% 7.3% 5.1% 2.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stanley Galloway 1.9% 2.1% 2.6% 4.5% 5.9% 6.5% 8.3% 9.9% 13.5% 17.2% 23.7% 3.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Constantyn van der Voort 3.5% 2.3% 3.2% 4.2% 5.4% 7.5% 8.4% 11.3% 11.1% 17.3% 22.7% 2.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Jeremy McCauley 8.5% 9.9% 11.1% 11.7% 12.9% 11.0% 10.6% 9.9% 7.7% 4.5% 2.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Owen Ward 5.3% 5.8% 7.3% 8.8% 7.7% 11.4% 11.8% 11.1% 12.6% 11.0% 6.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Stewart Gurnell 16.4% 15.8% 17.3% 14.1% 14.8% 9.8% 5.2% 4.0% 2.0% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Magno 3.8% 4.4% 4.7% 5.0% 7.0% 9.5% 11.3% 12.7% 14.1% 12.2% 13.6% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Madeline DelVescovo 3.5% 4.0% 6.1% 6.0% 6.6% 9.3% 10.6% 12.3% 13.7% 15.3% 11.4% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Magno 3.8% 4.4% 4.7% 5.0% 7.0% 9.5% 11.3% 12.7% 14.1% 12.2% 13.6% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Cole Daitch 3.5% 5.4% 7.5% 7.3% 9.0% 11.6% 13.1% 12.7% 11.0% 10.0% 8.1% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Hannah Lamb 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.6% 1.1% 1.9% 38.6% 56.7% 0.0%
William Harrington 0.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.4% 0.5% 0.9% 1.0% 3.2% 50.3% 42.9% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.