Race 6A

luce

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Michael Munger 28.7% 25.1% 18.0% 12.3% 8.6% 4.0% 1.6% 0.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jeremy McCauley 8.3% 8.2% 9.9% 12.6% 13.1% 11.5% 13.5% 9.1% 7.2% 4.4% 2.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Magno 2.7% 3.2% 4.5% 6.6% 7.5% 11.3% 9.7% 12.8% 14.3% 13.6% 12.7% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Stewart Gurnell 16.3% 16.2% 16.7% 14.1% 12.7% 10.1% 6.4% 3.9% 2.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Owen Ward 5.6% 6.3% 7.2% 8.3% 8.8% 11.6% 10.6% 12.1% 12.1% 10.3% 6.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Magno 2.7% 3.2% 4.5% 6.6% 7.5% 11.3% 9.7% 12.8% 14.3% 13.6% 12.7% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Scott McKinney 4.1% 6.6% 7.6% 9.6% 9.4% 10.1% 14.3% 12.3% 9.9% 9.7% 5.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Mraz 21.0% 19.8% 16.8% 14.9% 11.7% 7.9% 4.0% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Madeline DelVescovo 3.4% 4.7% 5.2% 5.4% 7.8% 8.3% 11.8% 12.7% 13.2% 14.0% 12.5% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stanley Galloway 2.1% 2.9% 4.1% 3.4% 5.1% 6.0% 6.2% 9.9% 12.8% 17.4% 26.3% 3.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Cole Daitch 5.7% 4.1% 6.0% 7.7% 8.1% 11.4% 12.5% 12.0% 12.9% 10.0% 8.8% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Constantyn van der Voort 1.9% 2.7% 3.9% 4.7% 6.6% 7.5% 8.8% 11.1% 13.0% 17.0% 20.1% 2.5% 0.2% 0.0%
William Harrington 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 1.0% 1.1% 2.3% 50.7% 43.4% 0.0%
Hannah Lamb 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.3% 1.0% 2.1% 39.2% 56.2% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.