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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Stanley Galloway 2.6% 2.2% 3.5% 3.5% 5.0% 7.1% 9.7% 9.0% 12.7% 17.0% 24.0% 3.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Michael Munger 30.9% 22.6% 17.8% 12.5% 7.4% 5.1% 1.9% 1.1% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Mraz 19.8% 20.5% 17.0% 16.3% 11.1% 6.4% 5.2% 2.3% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jeremy McCauley 7.4% 9.3% 10.3% 12.2% 12.7% 11.9% 12.1% 9.1% 8.0% 4.3% 2.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Owen Ward 4.7% 6.0% 7.8% 8.3% 10.0% 12.6% 9.7% 12.4% 10.7% 10.5% 6.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Christopher Magno 3.6% 3.8% 5.2% 6.2% 8.0% 9.0% 11.2% 11.4% 14.6% 13.5% 12.0% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Stewart Gurnell 16.6% 18.2% 15.4% 13.4% 12.5% 11.0% 6.5% 3.3% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Magno 3.6% 3.8% 5.2% 6.2% 8.0% 9.0% 11.2% 11.4% 14.6% 13.5% 12.0% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Cole Daitch 3.9% 5.8% 5.2% 8.2% 8.9% 10.1% 11.9% 12.9% 13.5% 10.6% 8.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Madeline DelVescovo 3.1% 3.9% 6.0% 5.6% 6.5% 9.4% 10.1% 12.9% 12.3% 13.8% 14.4% 2.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Scott McKinney 5.2% 5.5% 6.8% 8.8% 12.2% 9.6% 13.1% 13.1% 10.2% 8.5% 6.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Constantyn van der Voort 2.0% 2.0% 4.8% 4.6% 5.3% 7.7% 8.2% 11.4% 13.6% 18.1% 19.9% 2.2% 0.2% 0.0%
William Harrington 0.1% 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.3% 0.6% 0.8% 1.2% 2.4% 50.4% 43.5% 0.0%
Hannah Lamb 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.5% 0.5% 0.9% 2.1% 39.1% 56.1% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.