Race 8A

luce

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Michael Munger 28.8% 23.0% 19.2% 13.4% 7.6% 4.5% 2.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Mraz 20.7% 19.0% 18.5% 14.5% 11.0% 7.8% 4.3% 2.5% 1.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Magno 2.8% 2.8% 4.4% 6.7% 9.8% 9.9% 10.8% 11.2% 13.4% 15.5% 11.5% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Owen Ward 4.4% 4.6% 7.4% 9.0% 9.8% 10.3% 12.2% 12.2% 12.7% 10.1% 6.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Stanley Galloway 2.0% 3.3% 3.6% 4.0% 5.7% 7.1% 7.8% 10.1% 11.8% 16.6% 24.2% 3.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Stewart Gurnell 16.6% 18.1% 13.6% 15.9% 12.6% 10.0% 7.6% 2.8% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cole Daitch 5.1% 5.9% 6.3% 7.0% 8.7% 9.2% 11.6% 12.8% 13.4% 11.5% 7.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Constantyn van der Voort 2.2% 3.7% 3.6% 3.2% 5.2% 7.2% 8.6% 10.7% 13.3% 16.0% 23.4% 2.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Madeline DelVescovo 3.0% 4.8% 5.2% 4.6% 7.1% 8.3% 12.1% 12.9% 12.7% 14.4% 13.3% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Magno 2.8% 2.8% 4.4% 6.7% 9.8% 9.9% 10.8% 11.2% 13.4% 15.5% 11.5% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Jeremy McCauley 9.0% 8.8% 10.0% 12.1% 12.6% 12.3% 10.7% 9.7% 7.3% 4.7% 2.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Scott McKinney 5.2% 5.9% 7.8% 9.2% 9.6% 13.0% 11.4% 13.5% 10.7% 8.0% 5.1% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
William Harrington 0.1% 0.0% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 1.2% 0.9% 2.9% 49.9% 43.4% 0.0%
Hannah Lamb 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.4% 0.9% 2.3% 39.0% 56.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.