Race 9A

luce

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Connor Mraz 19.8% 19.7% 18.8% 14.4% 11.1% 7.9% 4.2% 2.6% 0.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Magno 3.3% 3.8% 4.4% 7.3% 7.0% 9.6% 9.9% 12.4% 15.0% 14.0% 11.9% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Stewart Gurnell 15.6% 15.4% 16.9% 15.6% 12.9% 8.9% 6.7% 5.5% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Scott McKinney 4.5% 5.9% 7.7% 7.6% 10.8% 10.6% 12.1% 12.6% 10.8% 11.3% 5.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Constantyn van der Voort 3.0% 3.1% 2.4% 4.3% 6.3% 6.9% 9.5% 10.1% 12.3% 17.2% 21.4% 3.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Jeremy McCauley 8.1% 9.9% 10.5% 11.2% 13.2% 13.5% 10.7% 8.0% 7.8% 4.7% 2.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stanley Galloway 2.6% 3.0% 4.3% 3.6% 5.6% 7.4% 6.5% 10.0% 12.3% 15.7% 24.8% 3.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Michael Munger 29.9% 23.9% 17.3% 13.4% 9.4% 3.1% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cole Daitch 4.6% 5.2% 5.7% 5.9% 8.3% 11.2% 12.7% 12.7% 11.2% 11.9% 9.7% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Owen Ward 5.5% 5.9% 6.8% 8.2% 8.2% 11.5% 12.7% 11.1% 12.8% 9.8% 6.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Madeline DelVescovo 3.0% 3.8% 5.2% 8.3% 6.6% 8.8% 12.9% 13.1% 13.4% 12.3% 11.4% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Christopher Magno 3.3% 3.8% 4.4% 7.3% 7.0% 9.6% 9.9% 12.4% 15.0% 14.0% 11.9% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0%
William Harrington 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.4% 1.1% 1.1% 3.1% 49.9% 43.3% 0.0%
Hannah Lamb 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.8% 0.5% 0.9% 2.4% 38.6% 56.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.