Race 11A

luce

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Michael Munger 28.8% 23.0% 19.8% 11.4% 8.9% 4.1% 2.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Owen Ward 5.7% 5.0% 6.5% 7.7% 8.5% 14.0% 11.2% 13.6% 10.0% 10.0% 7.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Magno 3.3% 2.3% 4.9% 6.8% 10.4% 7.5% 9.7% 12.8% 13.4% 16.6% 11.1% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Magno 3.3% 2.3% 4.9% 6.8% 10.4% 7.5% 9.7% 12.8% 13.4% 16.6% 11.1% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Constantyn van der Voort 2.1% 2.9% 3.1% 4.4% 5.8% 7.1% 10.2% 9.3% 11.7% 17.3% 22.7% 3.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Stewart Gurnell 16.8% 17.1% 15.8% 15.1% 12.4% 9.7% 5.7% 3.8% 2.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stanley Galloway 1.8% 3.0% 3.8% 4.8% 4.7% 6.3% 7.8% 10.4% 13.1% 15.6% 25.1% 3.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Scott McKinney 6.0% 6.6% 6.2% 8.6% 9.7% 11.4% 12.9% 10.8% 11.4% 9.6% 6.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Madeline DelVescovo 3.4% 4.6% 5.1% 5.2% 7.9% 9.0% 11.0% 12.5% 15.7% 13.0% 11.6% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jeremy McCauley 8.0% 8.2% 10.4% 12.8% 11.7% 11.8% 12.8% 9.7% 6.5% 5.8% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Mraz 20.1% 21.0% 17.8% 13.1% 11.1% 7.6% 4.3% 3.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cole Daitch 3.8% 6.1% 6.5% 9.7% 8.6% 10.9% 11.5% 11.3% 13.3% 8.7% 8.7% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Hannah Lamb 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 2.5% 38.4% 56.6% 0.0%
William Harrington 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.4% 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 1.6% 2.6% 50.6% 42.9% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.