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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State University0.27+1.67vs Predicted
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2University of Rochester-1.53+3.60vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University0.01-0.05vs Predicted
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4Hamilton College-1.45+1.50vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology-0.29-1.43vs Predicted
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6Indiana University of Pennsylvania-1.83+0.03vs Predicted
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7Colgate University-1.54-1.41vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University-0.61-3.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.67Penn State University0.2729.8%1st Place
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5.6University of Rochester-1.535.1%1st Place
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2.95Syracuse University0.0124.1%1st Place
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5.5Hamilton College-1.454.6%1st Place
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3.57Rochester Institute of Technology-0.2915.8%1st Place
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6.03Indiana University of Pennsylvania-1.833.5%1st Place
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5.59Colgate University-1.544.8%1st Place
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4.09Syracuse University-0.6112.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Murphy | 29.8% | 23.2% | 18.9% | 13.5% | 9.6% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Carlos Lopez | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 16.9% | 22.1% | 21.0% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 24.1% | 22.3% | 19.9% | 14.6% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Reid Chapman | 4.6% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 17.9% | 18.5% | 19.7% |
| Alden Burt | 15.8% | 17.3% | 18.0% | 17.5% | 14.1% | 10.2% | 5.9% | 1.1% |
| Serena Aumick | 3.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 14.9% | 20.3% | 32.6% |
| Stew Adams | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 16.9% | 20.1% | 21.3% |
| Caitlin DeLessio | 12.4% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 16.2% | 17.6% | 13.2% | 9.5% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.