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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.30+10.96vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.80+7.79vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.33+4.47vs Predicted
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4Stanford University4.05+4.62vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+4.18vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.64+4.35vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy4.09+1.44vs Predicted
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8University of Miami3.99+1.13vs Predicted
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9Harvard University4.36-1.93vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-0.70vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-1.70vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University4.31-4.30vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida3.49-2.12vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.92-4.71vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.56-4.35vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.54-1.10vs Predicted
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17Boston University3.63-6.56vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University3.30-6.10vs Predicted
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19University of Pennsylvania2.79-5.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.96U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.300.0%1st Place
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9.79Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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7.47Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
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8.62Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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9.18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.0%1st Place
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10.35College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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8.44U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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9.13University of Miami3.990.1%1st Place
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7.07Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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9.3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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9.3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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7.7Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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10.88University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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9.29University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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10.65Tufts University3.560.0%1st Place
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14.9Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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10.44Boston University3.630.0%1st Place
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11.9Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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13.64University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Aswad | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.4% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 5.1% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.2% |
| Scott Furnary | 9.3% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% |
| Kevin Laube | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Mac Mace | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% |
| Clark Hayes | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% |
| Nicholas Voss | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Brendan Kopp | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Austen Anderson | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Sean Bouchard | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Will Stocke | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.7% |
| Amy Hawkins | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 14.5% | 31.9% |
| Daniel Perkins | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 3.5% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.1% |
| Amanda Johnson | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 13.4% | 18.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.