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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State University0.27+1.47vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-0.61+1.70vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University0.01-0.16vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology-0.29-0.67vs Predicted
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5University of Rochester-1.53+0.13vs Predicted
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6Indiana University of Pennsylvania-1.83-0.48vs Predicted
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7Hamilton College-1.45-1.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.47Penn State University0.2730.9%1st Place
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3.7Syracuse University-0.6113.5%1st Place
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2.84Syracuse University0.0123.8%1st Place
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3.33Rochester Institute of Technology-0.2916.7%1st Place
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5.13University of Rochester-1.535.3%1st Place
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5.52Indiana University of Pennsylvania-1.834.0%1st Place
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5.02Hamilton College-1.455.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Murphy | 30.9% | 26.9% | 19.6% | 12.8% | 7.0% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Caitlin DeLessio | 13.5% | 14.8% | 17.2% | 18.8% | 18.9% | 12.1% | 4.8% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 23.8% | 22.2% | 22.2% | 16.7% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 1.2% |
| Alden Burt | 16.7% | 18.4% | 19.4% | 19.4% | 15.2% | 8.5% | 2.4% |
| Carlos Lopez | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 11.3% | 19.6% | 25.0% | 25.9% |
| Serena Aumick | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 13.9% | 21.6% | 40.8% |
| Reid Chapman | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 16.4% | 25.9% | 24.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.