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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.80+8.72vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.92+7.22vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+6.55vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.64+6.44vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy4.09+3.64vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University4.31+1.40vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University4.33+0.36vs Predicted
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8Stanford University4.05+0.88vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+0.21vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.56+0.73vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.79+3.06vs Predicted
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12Harvard University4.36-4.51vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University3.30-1.25vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.30-1.91vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida3.49-4.04vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.54-1.15vs Predicted
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17University of Miami3.99-8.13vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96-9.20vs Predicted
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19Boston University3.63-9.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.72Yale University3.800.0%1st Place
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9.22University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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9.55Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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10.44College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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8.64U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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7.4Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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7.36Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
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8.88Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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9.21Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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10.73Tufts University3.560.0%1st Place
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14.06University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
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7.49Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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11.75Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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12.09U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.300.0%1st Place
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10.96University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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14.85Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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8.87University of Miami3.990.1%1st Place
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8.8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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9.96Boston University3.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Segerblom | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
| Amy Hawkins | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Austen Anderson | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Mac Mace | 3.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 2.3% |
| Clark Hayes | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Sean Bouchard | 11.0% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Scott Furnary | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Kevin Laube | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.0% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 3.8% |
| Amanda Johnson | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 14.2% | 21.4% |
| Brendan Kopp | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.1% |
| Nick Aswad | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 7.9% |
| Will Stocke | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% |
| Robert Lippincott | 1.5% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 13.7% | 32.0% |
| Nicholas Voss | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Daniel Perkins | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.