Race 1A

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Stephen Duncan 13.4% 14.7% 13.5% 12.7% 11.9% 10.9% 10.7% 6.8% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3%
Raymond Groble IV 7.7% 5.7% 7.5% 9.7% 8.7% 10.2% 12.7% 11.9% 12.9% 9.3% 3.7%
Samuel Merson 12.7% 10.5% 12.6% 10.9% 12.7% 9.6% 10.8% 9.6% 6.6% 3.8% 0.2%
Isabella Loosbrock 21.3% 18.5% 16.6% 12.4% 11.6% 7.9% 5.6% 3.1% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
Colin Richards 7.7% 8.4% 7.1% 8.5% 9.8% 10.1% 10.9% 12.1% 11.8% 10.7% 2.9%
Garrett Connelly 3.3% 3.4% 5.8% 4.6% 5.3% 7.9% 7.3% 12.2% 14.5% 22.4% 13.3%
Jackson Hamilton 13.3% 12.9% 13.5% 13.1% 11.0% 9.9% 11.2% 6.5% 4.7% 3.2% 0.7%
Kelsey Shakin 10.2% 10.4% 11.1% 11.5% 10.4% 12.6% 8.5% 9.9% 9.1% 5.4% 0.9%
Andrew Puopolo 6.2% 8.8% 7.1% 10.3% 9.8% 10.3% 11.1% 11.8% 12.3% 9.2% 3.1%
Jennifer Killian 3.4% 5.4% 4.2% 4.9% 6.2% 7.9% 8.5% 11.6% 15.5% 21.8% 10.6%
Thomas Dugan 0.8% 1.3% 1.0% 1.4% 2.6% 2.7% 2.7% 4.5% 6.5% 12.3% 64.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.