Race 3A

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Isabella Loosbrock 25.7% 22.5% 16.6% 12.1% 8.7% 7.6% 4.1% 1.6% 0.7% 0.4%
Kelsey Shakin 10.9% 10.2% 12.8% 12.2% 13.5% 12.4% 11.7% 9.0% 5.8% 1.5%
Thomas Dugan 1.2% 1.2% 2.0% 1.6% 1.5% 3.4% 3.6% 6.9% 11.7% 66.9%
Andrew Puopolo 7.7% 9.1% 9.6% 12.4% 13.0% 11.7% 14.3% 11.2% 8.2% 2.8%
Jackson Hamilton 15.0% 13.3% 13.3% 14.0% 12.6% 13.2% 9.3% 5.9% 2.6% 0.8%
Raymond Groble IV 8.3% 9.2% 8.7% 10.6% 11.0% 11.6% 13.4% 12.3% 10.5% 4.4%
Jennifer Killian 3.7% 4.2% 4.5% 6.2% 8.6% 8.8% 12.5% 16.8% 24.4% 10.3%
Garrett Connelly 4.0% 3.8% 6.4% 7.9% 6.7% 9.2% 10.2% 18.3% 23.8% 9.7%
Stephen Duncan 16.1% 16.7% 16.2% 14.3% 12.2% 9.8% 7.7% 5.6% 1.2% 0.2%
Colin Richards 7.4% 9.8% 9.9% 8.7% 12.2% 12.3% 13.2% 12.4% 11.1% 3.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.