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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State University0.27+2.03vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology-0.29+2.03vs Predicted
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3Queen's University0.71-0.56vs Predicted
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4Indiana University of Pennsylvania-1.83+2.47vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University0.01-1.50vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-0.61-1.41vs Predicted
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7Hamilton College-1.45-1.13vs Predicted
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8University of Rochester-1.53-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.03Penn State University0.2721.9%1st Place
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4.03Rochester Institute of Technology-0.2912.5%1st Place
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2.44Queen's University0.7133.1%1st Place
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6.47Indiana University of Pennsylvania-1.832.2%1st Place
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3.5Syracuse University0.0116.2%1st Place
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4.59Syracuse University-0.617.6%1st Place
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5.87Hamilton College-1.453.5%1st Place
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6.07University of Rochester-1.532.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Murphy | 21.9% | 20.3% | 21.2% | 17.1% | 11.6% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Alden Burt | 12.5% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 17.1% | 17.9% | 14.2% | 8.8% | 2.2% |
| Thomas Elia | 33.1% | 27.1% | 17.5% | 12.2% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Serena Aumick | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 13.9% | 22.1% | 40.9% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 16.2% | 17.0% | 19.4% | 17.1% | 14.8% | 10.7% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Caitlin DeLessio | 7.6% | 8.8% | 13.8% | 15.2% | 18.7% | 17.9% | 12.4% | 5.5% |
| Reid Chapman | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 18.4% | 24.4% | 22.9% |
| Carlos Lopez | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 17.3% | 25.3% | 26.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.