← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island1.73+5.02vs Predicted
-
2Boston University2.44+2.52vs Predicted
-
3Northeastern University1.74+3.16vs Predicted
-
4University of Vermont2.80-0.27vs Predicted
-
5Boston College2.93-1.58vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University2.13-0.83vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University2.13-1.84vs Predicted
-
8Salve Regina University1.82-2.19vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65-2.77vs Predicted
-
10Maine Maritime Academy0.25-1.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.02University of Rhode Island1.730.1%1st Place
-
4.52Boston University2.440.1%1st Place
-
6.16Northeastern University1.740.1%1st Place
-
3.73University of Vermont2.800.2%1st Place
-
3.42Boston College2.930.2%1st Place
-
5.17Harvard University2.130.1%1st Place
-
5.16Roger Williams University2.130.1%1st Place
-
5.81Salve Regina University1.820.1%1st Place
-
6.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.1%1st Place
-
8.78Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Champney | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 8.1% |
| Caleb Robinson | 13.1% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 0.9% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 17.1% | 7.3% |
| Thomas Harden | 19.0% | 16.9% | 15.7% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Colin Brego | 22.0% | 19.1% | 16.6% | 14.4% | 11.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Eric Hansen | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 3.7% |
| Riley Read | 8.0% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 3.6% |
| Grace Vincens | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 6.2% |
| Alex Abate | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 15.1% | 16.5% | 8.2% |
| Olivia Mitchell | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 7.3% | 13.4% | 61.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.