Race 5B

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Grace Vincens 7.3% 7.3% 7.9% 8.0% 9.6% 10.6% 11.2% 15.9% 15.4% 6.8%
Riley Read 9.9% 7.6% 9.7% 11.5% 11.5% 11.2% 11.2% 14.2% 9.9% 3.3%
Colin Brego 20.8% 16.6% 15.2% 14.0% 12.4% 8.7% 6.6% 3.7% 1.6% 0.4%
Eric Hansen 8.8% 10.0% 9.9% 9.6% 13.6% 11.6% 12.6% 11.0% 9.9% 3.0%
Adrian van der Wal 11.3% 12.7% 12.6% 11.3% 11.1% 13.0% 11.2% 8.5% 6.0% 2.3%
Zachary Champney 7.6% 6.7% 7.0% 7.3% 8.6% 11.0% 11.8% 12.8% 17.4% 9.8%
Caleb Robinson 10.7% 12.6% 14.5% 12.5% 12.1% 12.0% 11.3% 7.7% 4.7% 1.9%
Alex Abate 5.3% 6.7% 7.2% 8.9% 7.0% 8.8% 13.5% 13.7% 19.3% 9.6%
Thomas Harden 17.0% 18.8% 14.2% 13.7% 12.1% 9.6% 6.6% 4.9% 2.4% 0.7%
Olivia Mitchell 1.3% 1.0% 1.8% 3.2% 2.0% 3.5% 4.0% 7.6% 13.4% 62.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.