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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.93+2.39vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.82+3.91vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.74+3.17vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65+2.28vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.80-1.31vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.13-0.84vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.44-2.56vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.13-2.89vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.73-2.92vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy0.25-1.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.39Boston College2.930.2%1st Place
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5.91Salve Regina University1.820.1%1st Place
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6.17Northeastern University1.740.1%1st Place
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6.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.0%1st Place
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3.69University of Vermont2.800.2%1st Place
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5.16Roger Williams University2.130.1%1st Place
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4.44Boston University2.440.1%1st Place
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5.11Harvard University2.130.1%1st Place
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6.08University of Rhode Island1.730.1%1st Place
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8.78Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Brego | 24.0% | 20.3% | 15.2% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Grace Vincens | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 15.0% | 6.8% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 15.0% | 17.2% | 6.9% |
| Alex Abate | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 15.9% | 14.7% | 9.1% |
| Thomas Harden | 18.9% | 17.2% | 16.6% | 15.0% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Riley Read | 11.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 7.4% | 3.3% |
| Caleb Robinson | 11.0% | 15.0% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
| Eric Hansen | 8.7% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 2.6% |
| Zachary Champney | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 14.5% | 15.1% | 7.4% |
| Olivia Mitchell | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 7.5% | 13.3% | 61.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.