← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Adrian van der Wal 12.4% 12.1% 12.9% 10.8% 11.8% 11.4% 11.1% 9.1% 6.1% 2.3%
Thomas Harden 17.5% 15.7% 15.6% 14.5% 11.5% 10.1% 6.4% 5.2% 2.8% 0.7%
Colin Brego 19.8% 17.5% 14.8% 15.3% 11.0% 8.9% 7.2% 4.0% 1.2% 0.3%
Riley Read 8.2% 9.6% 11.7% 10.3% 12.1% 11.0% 13.0% 11.3% 9.8% 3.0%
Grace Vincens 7.7% 7.7% 7.5% 7.8% 8.3% 10.9% 14.3% 15.2% 14.2% 6.4%
Eric Hansen 10.8% 9.7% 9.1% 11.2% 11.8% 11.5% 11.1% 11.7% 10.3% 2.8%
Olivia Mitchell 1.1% 1.4% 1.3% 1.9% 2.6% 2.8% 4.0% 6.6% 12.4% 65.9%
Alex Abate 5.4% 5.8% 7.5% 7.6% 8.9% 10.2% 11.9% 15.9% 18.4% 8.4%
Zachary Champney 6.6% 6.0% 7.5% 8.3% 9.6% 11.2% 9.7% 13.8% 18.4% 8.9%
Caleb Robinson 10.5% 14.5% 12.1% 12.3% 12.4% 12.0% 11.3% 7.2% 6.4% 1.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.