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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.21+1.84vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.16+1.58vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.92+0.27vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+0.19vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.97+1.84vs Predicted
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6Columbia University0.44-1.81vs Predicted
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7Fordham University-0.32-1.49vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College-0.52-2.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.84Cornell University1.2128.0%1st Place
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3.58University of Pennsylvania1.1616.4%1st Place
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3.27Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9220.5%1st Place
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4.19U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.2911.3%1st Place
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6.84Princeton University-0.972.1%1st Place
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4.19Columbia University0.4411.6%1st Place
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5.51Fordham University-0.324.8%1st Place
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5.58SUNY Maritime College-0.525.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
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Gilda Dondona | 28.0% | 22.1% | 17.4% | 14.2% | 10.1% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
Adra Ivancich | 16.4% | 17.8% | 16.4% | 16.3% | 15.0% | 11.5% | 5.1% | 1.6% |
Deana Fedulova | 20.5% | 19.4% | 17.6% | 17.3% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 0.8% |
Annika VanderHorst | 11.3% | 12.0% | 14.9% | 16.5% | 16.5% | 14.5% | 10.9% | 3.3% |
Evelyn Walsh | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 18.8% | 53.4% |
Elizabeth Frost | 11.6% | 12.4% | 15.0% | 14.8% | 17.2% | 14.6% | 9.9% | 4.5% |
Anna Robertson | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 16.7% | 24.6% | 16.9% |
Nicole Ostapowicz | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 18.4% | 24.1% | 19.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.