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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.64+9.46vs Predicted
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2University of Miami3.99+6.87vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+6.10vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy4.09+4.40vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.30+7.27vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.92+3.10vs Predicted
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7Harvard University4.36+0.22vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.80+1.97vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University4.33-1.82vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.56+0.70vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University2.54+3.97vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-2.26vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University3.30-1.31vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University4.31-6.46vs Predicted
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15Stanford University4.05-6.51vs Predicted
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16Boston University3.63-5.69vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida3.49-5.91vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-8.76vs Predicted
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19University of Pennsylvania2.79-5.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.46College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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8.87University of Miami3.990.1%1st Place
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9.1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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8.4U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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12.27U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.300.0%1st Place
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9.1University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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7.22Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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9.97Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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7.18Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
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10.7Tufts University3.560.0%1st Place
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14.97Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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9.74Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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11.69Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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7.54Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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8.49Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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10.31Boston University3.630.0%1st Place
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11.09University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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9.24Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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13.65University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mac Mace | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% |
| Nicholas Voss | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% |
| Clark Hayes | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Nick Aswad | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.0% |
| Amy Hawkins | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% |
| Brendan Kopp | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Scott Furnary | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% |
| Robert Lippincott | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 15.9% | 30.9% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% |
| Sean Bouchard | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Kevin Laube | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Daniel Perkins | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.2% |
| Will Stocke | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.3% |
| Austen Anderson | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Amanda Johnson | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 19.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.