← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College2.81+2.19vs Predicted
-
2University of Vermont2.23+2.36vs Predicted
-
3Boston University2.60+0.62vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island2.28+0.20vs Predicted
-
5Northeastern University1.63+0.61vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.21+0.53vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University1.34-0.66vs Predicted
-
8Salve Regina University1.59-2.30vs Predicted
-
9Harvard University0.65-1.27vs Predicted
-
10Maine Maritime Academy0.63-2.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.19Boston College2.810.3%1st Place
-
4.36University of Vermont2.230.1%1st Place
-
3.62Boston University2.600.2%1st Place
-
4.2University of Rhode Island2.280.1%1st Place
-
5.61Northeastern University1.630.1%1st Place
-
6.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.210.1%1st Place
-
6.34Roger Williams University1.340.0%1st Place
-
5.7Salve Regina University1.590.1%1st Place
-
7.73Harvard University0.650.0%1st Place
-
7.75Maine Maritime Academy0.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Hunter | 26.0% | 19.5% | 16.8% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Cameron Nash | 12.8% | 13.4% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Kyle Dochoda | 19.0% | 17.7% | 15.7% | 15.2% | 12.6% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 13.1% | 14.9% | 14.2% | 16.1% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 9.5% | 5.4% |
| Charles Lindsay | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 15.2% | 15.4% | 13.5% |
| Madeline Pope | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 15.6% | 12.8% | 15.0% | 10.1% |
| Joey Lark | 5.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 10.4% | 6.1% |
| Paul Kuechler | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 22.4% | 29.5% |
| Ellis Heminway | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 13.9% | 18.7% | 33.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.