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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island0.82+2.46vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.69+4.32vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.32+1.34vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.25+1.24vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University0.94-1.45vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.18-1.12vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.02-2.01vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University-0.79-1.11vs Predicted
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9Bates College-1.91-0.28vs Predicted
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10McGill University-0.73-3.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.46University of Rhode Island0.8220.4%1st Place
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6.32Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.695.3%1st Place
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4.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.3213.7%1st Place
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5.24Boston University0.259.5%1st Place
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3.55Roger Williams University0.9419.4%1st Place
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4.88University of Vermont0.1810.8%1st Place
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4.99University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.0210.2%1st Place
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6.89Salve Regina University-0.794.2%1st Place
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8.72Bates College-1.911.6%1st Place
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6.61McGill University-0.734.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Owen Grainger | 20.4% | 18.9% | 17.0% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
Zach Earnshaw | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 15.5% | 16.2% | 8.9% |
Caroline Odell | 13.7% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
Richard Kalich | 9.5% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 8.0% | 2.5% |
Jakub Fuja | 19.4% | 17.5% | 17.0% | 15.3% | 12.7% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
Zachary Amelotte | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 1.2% |
William Delong | 10.2% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 2.6% |
Sean Morrison | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 16.1% | 21.6% | 14.8% |
Georgia Green | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 8.9% | 15.0% | 57.5% |
Curtis Mallory | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 16.0% | 19.6% | 11.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.