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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
5.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.30+10.99vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.63+8.50vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.49+8.18vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.80+5.73vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.64+5.75vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.54+8.63vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University4.33+0.44vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University4.31-0.25vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy4.09-0.80vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.79+3.92vs Predicted
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11Stanford University4.05-2.49vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.56-0.81vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.30-1.31vs Predicted
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14University of Miami3.99-5.00vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-5.71vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96-7.11vs Predicted
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17Harvard University4.36-9.73vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-8.72vs Predicted
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19University of Rhode Island3.92-10.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.99Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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10.5Boston University3.630.0%1st Place
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11.18University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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9.73Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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10.75College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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14.63Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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7.44Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
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7.75Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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8.2U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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13.92University of Pennsylvania2.790.0%1st Place
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8.51Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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11.19Tufts University3.560.0%1st Place
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11.69U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.300.0%1st Place
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9.0University of Miami3.990.1%1st Place
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9.29Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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8.89St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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7.27Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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9.28Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.0%1st Place
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8.77University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Hoffmann | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.5% |
| Daniel Perkins | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.2% |
| Will Stocke | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% |
| Mac Mace | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 3.9% |
| Robert Lippincott | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 13.7% | 30.8% |
| Scott Furnary | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Sean Bouchard | 9.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Clark Hayes | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% |
| Amanda Johnson | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 20.6% |
| Kevin Laube | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 4.2% |
| Nick Aswad | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 6.5% |
| Nicholas Voss | 6.4% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Austen Anderson | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 1.7% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Brendan Kopp | 8.8% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Amy Hawkins | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.