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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego1.45+2.27vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles-0.74+8.21vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.30+0.47vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.68+5.90vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.61+4.75vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz-1.14+6.16vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.36+5.73vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-2.36+8.55vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego1.03-4.98vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz-1.34+2.84vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine-0.63-1.34vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine-1.59+1.97vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.61+1.07vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara-0.29-5.78vs Predicted
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15California State University Monterey Bay-1.70-0.89vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-1.95-0.70vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-0.64-7.36vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.17-1.54vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-1.28-6.45vs Predicted
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20University of California at Davis-0.93-9.04vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.03-9.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.27University of California at San Diego1.450.2%1st Place
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10.21University of California at Los Angeles-0.740.0%1st Place
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3.47University of California at Los Angeles1.300.2%1st Place
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9.9University of California at San Diego-0.680.0%1st Place
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9.75University of California at Berkeley-0.610.0%1st Place
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12.16University of California at Santa Cruz-1.140.0%1st Place
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12.73Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.360.0%1st Place
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16.55Arizona State University-2.360.0%1st Place
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4.02University of California at San Diego1.030.2%1st Place
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12.84University of California at Santa Cruz-1.340.0%1st Place
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9.66University of California at Irvine-0.630.0%1st Place
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13.97University of California at Irvine-1.590.0%1st Place
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14.07Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.610.0%1st Place
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8.22University of California at Santa Barbara-0.290.1%1st Place
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14.11California State University Monterey Bay-1.700.0%1st Place
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15.3Arizona State University-1.950.0%1st Place
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9.64University of California at San Diego-0.640.0%1st Place
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16.46Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.170.0%1st Place
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12.55University of California at Los Angeles-1.280.0%1st Place
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10.96University of California at Davis-0.930.0%1st Place
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11.15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Dorn | 23.9% | 22.5% | 15.8% | 14.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Tang | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 20.1% | 19.2% | 19.2% | 14.6% | 10.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sebastien Franck | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Nicolas Deshler | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Grant Gravallese | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% |
| Kaden Caliendo | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 2.9% |
| Cristina Port | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 14.5% | 25.4% |
| Kyle Gallagher | 16.7% | 17.1% | 16.0% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Savannah Hallgarth | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 3.1% |
| Anthony Drabeck | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Myers | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% |
| Corey Quillen | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% |
| Francesca Alegre i parellada | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Max Graves | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.9% |
| Corbin Bendel | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 12.7% |
| Amanda Brooks | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Adam Whitehead | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 15.5% | 22.4% |
| Emma Worthington | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 2.3% |
| Jonah Brees | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% |
| Alex Burke | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.