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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.30+2.33vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego1.45+1.03vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego1.03+0.81vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara-0.29+3.69vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.61+4.06vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz-1.14+5.31vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.61+5.82vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.03+2.43vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine-0.63-0.10vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay-1.70+3.39vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.36+0.82vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-1.28-0.22vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-0.74-3.49vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-1.95+0.37vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-0.68-5.98vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Cruz-1.34-4.09vs Predicted
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17University of California at Irvine-1.59-4.12vs Predicted
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18University of California at Davis-2.70-0.68vs Predicted
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19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.17-3.75vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-2.36-4.08vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego-2.87-3.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.33University of California at Los Angeles1.300.2%1st Place
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3.03University of California at San Diego1.450.3%1st Place
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3.81University of California at San Diego1.030.2%1st Place
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7.69University of California at Santa Barbara-0.290.0%1st Place
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9.06University of California at Berkeley-0.610.0%1st Place
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11.31University of California at Santa Cruz-1.140.0%1st Place
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12.82Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.610.0%1st Place
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10.43Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.030.0%1st Place
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8.9University of California at Irvine-0.630.0%1st Place
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13.39California State University Monterey Bay-1.700.0%1st Place
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11.82Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.360.0%1st Place
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11.78University of California at Los Angeles-1.280.0%1st Place
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9.51University of California at Los Angeles-0.740.0%1st Place
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14.37Arizona State University-1.950.0%1st Place
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9.02University of California at San Diego-0.680.0%1st Place
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11.91University of California at Santa Cruz-1.340.0%1st Place
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12.88University of California at Irvine-1.590.0%1st Place
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17.32University of California at Davis-2.700.0%1st Place
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15.25Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.170.0%1st Place
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15.92Arizona State University-2.360.0%1st Place
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17.44University of California at San Diego-2.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 23.3% | 20.8% | 16.5% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 25.8% | 21.8% | 19.1% | 13.2% | 8.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Gallagher | 16.5% | 17.3% | 18.3% | 15.2% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Alegre i parellada | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Deshler | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Grant Gravallese | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Corey Quillen | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% |
| Alex Burke | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Anthony Drabeck | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Max Graves | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.2% |
| Kaden Caliendo | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Emma Worthington | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Kevin Tang | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Corbin Bendel | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 5.0% |
| Sebastien Franck | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Savannah Hallgarth | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% |
| Alexander Myers | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| Conor White | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 19.1% | 26.6% |
| Adam Whitehead | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 10.4% |
| Cristina Port | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 13.9% | 14.4% |
| Jay Tapadiya | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 18.7% | 29.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.