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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.30+2.42vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego1.45+1.14vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara-0.29+5.00vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego1.03-0.04vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.61+4.45vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz-1.14+5.78vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.61+6.34vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine-0.63+1.18vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-1.28+3.09vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-0.74-0.09vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-0.68-1.56vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.03-0.79vs Predicted
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13California State University Monterey Bay-1.70+1.03vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine-1.59-0.62vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Cruz-1.34-2.84vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-0.64-6.60vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-1.95-2.16vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.36-5.31vs Predicted
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19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.17-3.23vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-2.36-3.55vs Predicted
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21University of California at Davis-2.70-3.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.42University of California at Los Angeles1.300.2%1st Place
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3.14University of California at San Diego1.450.3%1st Place
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8.0University of California at Santa Barbara-0.290.0%1st Place
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3.96University of California at San Diego1.030.2%1st Place
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9.45University of California at Berkeley-0.610.0%1st Place
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11.78University of California at Santa Cruz-1.140.0%1st Place
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13.34Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.610.0%1st Place
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9.18University of California at Irvine-0.630.0%1st Place
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12.09University of California at Los Angeles-1.280.0%1st Place
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9.91University of California at Los Angeles-0.740.0%1st Place
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9.44University of California at San Diego-0.680.0%1st Place
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11.21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.030.0%1st Place
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14.03California State University Monterey Bay-1.700.0%1st Place
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13.38University of California at Irvine-1.590.0%1st Place
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12.16University of California at Santa Cruz-1.340.0%1st Place
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9.4University of California at San Diego-0.640.0%1st Place
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14.84Arizona State University-1.950.0%1st Place
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12.69Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.360.0%1st Place
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15.77Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.170.0%1st Place
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16.45Arizona State University-2.360.0%1st Place
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17.35University of California at Davis-2.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 22.7% | 20.2% | 16.4% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 25.4% | 21.0% | 17.1% | 14.2% | 10.0% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Alegre i parellada | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Gallagher | 15.5% | 16.5% | 16.5% | 16.9% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Deshler | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Grant Gravallese | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Corey Quillen | 0.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% |
| Anthony Drabeck | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| Emma Worthington | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| Kevin Tang | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Sebastien Franck | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Alex Burke | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Max Graves | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 4.7% |
| Alexander Myers | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 2.7% |
| Savannah Hallgarth | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Amanda Brooks | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% |
| Corbin Bendel | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 9.6% |
| Kaden Caliendo | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 2.2% |
| Adam Whitehead | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 15.5% |
| Cristina Port | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 15.1% | 20.8% |
| Conor White | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 16.1% | 32.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.