Race 3A

salt-pond-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Owen Grainger 21.7% 18.6% 16.8% 14.0% 11.9% 8.2% 4.8% 2.5% 1.5% 0.2%
Zach Earnshaw 5.0% 6.2% 7.7% 7.3% 7.7% 10.4% 12.3% 14.8% 17.7% 10.8%
Sean Morrison 3.5% 4.7% 4.8% 6.5% 6.3% 8.7% 12.8% 15.2% 19.6% 17.9%
Jakub Fuja 18.6% 18.9% 16.9% 15.3% 11.3% 8.8% 5.5% 3.2% 1.2% 0.4%
Zachary Amelotte 10.9% 12.3% 11.3% 11.7% 13.8% 11.9% 11.1% 8.6% 6.6% 1.8%
Richard Kalich 10.3% 9.0% 9.5% 9.5% 12.4% 14.1% 13.2% 10.9% 8.4% 2.6%
William Delong 10.0% 10.3% 11.6% 12.2% 11.8% 12.8% 11.1% 11.1% 6.7% 2.5%
Caroline Odell 13.6% 12.7% 12.6% 13.1% 13.7% 11.7% 10.4% 7.6% 3.5% 1.1%
Curtis Mallory 4.6% 5.3% 6.2% 6.6% 8.1% 9.2% 13.0% 16.6% 18.8% 11.7%
Colin Kenny 1.7% 1.9% 2.7% 3.8% 3.0% 4.2% 5.9% 9.6% 16.1% 51.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.