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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles0.29+3.62vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego1.57+0.13vs Predicted
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3University of California at Irvine-1.27+7.50vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.58+3.52vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara-0.56+2.33vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-1.37+4.95vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-2.13+7.38vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.71+4.09vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.02+0.15vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-1.95+3.36vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-2.34+3.94vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-1.76+0.79vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz-0.99-3.48vs Predicted
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14California State University Monterey Bay-1.39-3.10vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-2.53-0.57vs Predicted
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17University of California at Irvine-1.37-6.20vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Cruz-1.24-7.91vs Predicted
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19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.57-7.18vs Predicted
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20Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26-9.68vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles-1.46-9.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.62University of California at Los Angeles0.290.1%1st Place
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2.13University of California at San Diego1.570.4%1st Place
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10.5University of California at Irvine-1.270.0%1st Place
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7.52University of California at San Diego-0.580.0%1st Place
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7.33University of California at Santa Barbara-0.560.1%1st Place
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10.95University of California at San Diego-1.370.0%1st Place
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14.38University of California at San Diego-2.130.0%1st Place
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12.09Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.710.0%1st Place
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9.15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.020.0%1st Place
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13.36University of California at Los Angeles-1.950.0%1st Place
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14.94Arizona State University-2.340.0%1st Place
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12.79University of California at Davis-1.760.0%1st Place
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9.52University of California at Santa Cruz-0.990.0%1st Place
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10.9California State University Monterey Bay-1.390.0%1st Place
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15.43Arizona State University-2.530.0%1st Place
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10.8University of California at Irvine-1.370.0%1st Place
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10.09University of California at Santa Cruz-1.240.0%1st Place
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11.82Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.570.0%1st Place
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10.32Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.0%1st Place
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11.37University of California at Los Angeles-1.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Jane Howland | 12.4% | 16.1% | 15.4% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nigel Lipps | 44.0% | 26.5% | 14.4% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hali Aniol | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Tobie Bloom | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.4% |
| Sophia Jacobs | 5.1% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Blair Caccam | 1.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.7% |
| Stephen Burt | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 14.2% |
| Conor Kuzmack | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 3.7% |
| Dashel Peters | 3.2% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Deven Douglas | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 10.2% |
| Mary Spearman | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 20.3% |
| Grace Chitouras | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 6.5% |
| Ryan Martin | 3.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Jason Gronich | 1.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Katherine Pearson | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 9.5% | 14.1% | 27.1% |
| Neil Gompf | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.4% |
| Jeremy Burke | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Chris Haugen | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 2.7% |
| Macy Rowe | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Xinyu Zhou | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.