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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Irvine-1.27+10.28vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego1.57+0.29vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara-0.56+5.02vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley-0.69+4.55vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.02+5.17vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.58+2.29vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis-0.93+2.56vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.29-3.08vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-2.52+7.38vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.57+2.63vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-1.46+0.95vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.71+1.26vs Predicted
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13California State University Monterey Bay-1.39-1.14vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.37-2.34vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-2.53+1.27vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Cruz-1.24-4.99vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-1.95-2.81vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-2.39-1.72vs Predicted
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19University of California at Santa Cruz-0.99-8.99vs Predicted
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20-1.26-8.89vs Predicted
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21University of California at Irvine-1.37-9.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.28University of California at Irvine-1.270.0%1st Place
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2.29University of California at San Diego1.570.4%1st Place
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8.02University of California at Santa Barbara-0.560.0%1st Place
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8.55University of California at Berkeley-0.690.0%1st Place
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10.17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.020.0%1st Place
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8.29University of California at San Diego-0.580.0%1st Place
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9.56University of California at Davis-0.930.0%1st Place
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4.92University of California at Los Angeles0.290.1%1st Place
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16.38University of California at San Diego-2.520.0%1st Place
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12.63Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.570.0%1st Place
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11.95University of California at Los Angeles-1.460.0%1st Place
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13.26Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.710.0%1st Place
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11.86California State University Monterey Bay-1.390.0%1st Place
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11.66University of California at San Diego-1.370.0%1st Place
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16.27Arizona State University-2.530.0%1st Place
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11.01University of California at Santa Cruz-1.240.0%1st Place
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14.19University of California at Los Angeles-1.950.0%1st Place
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16.28Arizona State University-2.390.0%1st Place
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10.01University of California at Santa Cruz-0.990.0%1st Place
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11.11-1.260.0%1st Place
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11.32University of California at Irvine-1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hali Aniol | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Nigel Lipps | 40.9% | 24.8% | 17.3% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Jacobs | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Francesco Olivero | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dashel Peters | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Tobie Bloom | 3.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jonah Brees | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 12.7% | 14.7% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizaveta Pertseva | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 14.9% | 24.7% |
| Chris Haugen | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 3.3% |
| Xinyu Zhou | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 2.8% |
| Conor Kuzmack | 1.1% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.2% |
| Jason Gronich | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| Blair Caccam | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% |
| Katherine Pearson | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 14.6% | 23.1% |
| Jeremy Burke | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Deven Douglas | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 7.3% |
| Nicholas Peters | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 14.8% | 21.5% |
| Ryan Martin | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Macy Rowe | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Neil Gompf | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.