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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego1.57+1.30vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara-0.56+6.05vs Predicted
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3University of California at Irvine-1.27+8.25vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley-0.69+4.62vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-1.37+6.77vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.29-0.88vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.02+2.99vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-2.52+8.20vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.58-0.98vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-0.93-0.27vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-2.39+4.79vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz-1.24-0.83vs Predicted
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13California State University Monterey Bay-1.39-1.14vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz-0.99-4.13vs Predicted
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15-1.26-4.02vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.57-3.44vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-1.95-2.76vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles-1.46-5.66vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-2.53-2.40vs Predicted
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20Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.71-6.78vs Predicted
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21University of California at Irvine-1.37-9.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.3University of California at San Diego1.570.4%1st Place
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8.05University of California at Santa Barbara-0.560.1%1st Place
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11.25University of California at Irvine-1.270.0%1st Place
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8.62University of California at Berkeley-0.690.0%1st Place
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11.77University of California at San Diego-1.370.0%1st Place
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5.12University of California at Los Angeles0.290.1%1st Place
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9.99Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.020.0%1st Place
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16.2University of California at San Diego-2.520.0%1st Place
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8.02University of California at San Diego-0.580.0%1st Place
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9.73University of California at Davis-0.930.0%1st Place
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15.79Arizona State University-2.390.0%1st Place
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11.17University of California at Santa Cruz-1.240.0%1st Place
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11.86California State University Monterey Bay-1.390.0%1st Place
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9.87University of California at Santa Cruz-0.990.0%1st Place
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10.98-1.260.0%1st Place
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12.56Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.570.0%1st Place
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14.24University of California at Los Angeles-1.950.0%1st Place
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12.34University of California at Los Angeles-1.460.0%1st Place
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16.6Arizona State University-2.530.0%1st Place
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13.22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.710.0%1st Place
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11.31University of California at Irvine-1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nigel Lipps | 40.7% | 25.9% | 15.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Jacobs | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Hali Aniol | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Francesco Olivero | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Blair Caccam | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 10.1% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dashel Peters | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Elizaveta Pertseva | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 14.8% | 22.6% |
| Tobie Bloom | 4.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jonah Brees | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Nicholas Peters | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 11.1% | 14.9% | 20.0% |
| Jeremy Burke | 1.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Jason Gronich | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% |
| Ryan Martin | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Macy Rowe | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Chris Haugen | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.3% |
| Deven Douglas | 1.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.4% |
| Xinyu Zhou | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.0% |
| Katherine Pearson | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 14.6% | 25.3% |
| Conor Kuzmack | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 5.4% |
| Neil Gompf | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.