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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Davis-0.93+8.09vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego1.57+0.17vs Predicted
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3University of California at Irvine-1.27+7.78vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara-0.56+3.63vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.29-1.36vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.02+2.61vs Predicted
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8-1.26+2.92vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-1.46+2.16vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-1.37+0.98vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz-1.24-0.58vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-1.95+1.60vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-2.13+1.43vs Predicted
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14California State University Monterey Bay-1.39-2.55vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.71-2.53vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.57-4.14vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-2.34-2.00vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-2.53-2.38vs Predicted
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19University of California at Irvine-1.37-7.84vs Predicted
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20University of California at Santa Cruz-0.99-10.70vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego-0.58-13.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.09University of California at Davis-0.930.0%1st Place
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2.17University of California at San Diego1.570.4%1st Place
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10.78University of California at Irvine-1.270.0%1st Place
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7.63University of California at Santa Barbara-0.560.1%1st Place
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4.64University of California at Los Angeles0.290.1%1st Place
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9.61Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.020.0%1st Place
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10.92-1.260.0%1st Place
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11.16University of California at Los Angeles-1.460.0%1st Place
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10.98University of California at San Diego-1.370.0%1st Place
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10.42University of California at Santa Cruz-1.240.0%1st Place
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13.6University of California at Los Angeles-1.950.0%1st Place
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14.43University of California at San Diego-2.130.0%1st Place
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11.45California State University Monterey Bay-1.390.0%1st Place
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12.47Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.710.0%1st Place
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11.86Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.570.0%1st Place
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15.0Arizona State University-2.340.0%1st Place
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15.62Arizona State University-2.530.0%1st Place
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11.16University of California at Irvine-1.370.0%1st Place
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9.3University of California at Santa Cruz-0.990.0%1st Place
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7.74University of California at San Diego-0.580.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonah Brees | 2.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Nigel Lipps | 43.3% | 25.3% | 15.9% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hali Aniol | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% |
| Sophia Jacobs | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 12.7% | 16.1% | 14.5% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dashel Peters | 2.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% |
| Macy Rowe | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% |
| Xinyu Zhou | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| Blair Caccam | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Jeremy Burke | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Deven Douglas | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 9.7% |
| Stephen Burt | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 14.1% |
| Jason Gronich | 1.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% |
| Conor Kuzmack | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 5.9% |
| Chris Haugen | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 3.7% |
| Mary Spearman | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 22.0% |
| Katherine Pearson | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 15.6% | 25.4% |
| Neil Gompf | 2.3% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.5% |
| Ryan Martin | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Tobie Bloom | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.