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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley-0.69+7.74vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego1.57+0.25vs Predicted
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3University of California at Irvine-1.27+8.30vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.29+0.93vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-1.37+6.75vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.02+4.30vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara-0.56+0.96vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis-0.93+1.43vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.58-1.00vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-1.95+4.21vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.71+2.05vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-1.46+0.18vs Predicted
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13California State University Monterey Bay-1.39-1.13vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-2.52+2.49vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-2.53+1.31vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Cruz-0.99-6.06vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Cruz-1.24-6.00vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-2.34-1.89vs Predicted
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19-1.26-7.78vs Predicted
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20University of California at Irvine-1.37-8.31vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.57-8.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.74University of California at Berkeley-0.690.0%1st Place
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2.25University of California at San Diego1.570.4%1st Place
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11.3University of California at Irvine-1.270.0%1st Place
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4.93University of California at Los Angeles0.290.1%1st Place
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11.75University of California at San Diego-1.370.0%1st Place
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10.3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.020.0%1st Place
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7.96University of California at Santa Barbara-0.560.0%1st Place
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9.43University of California at Davis-0.930.0%1st Place
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8.0University of California at San Diego-0.580.1%1st Place
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14.21University of California at Los Angeles-1.950.0%1st Place
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13.05Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.710.0%1st Place
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12.18University of California at Los Angeles-1.460.0%1st Place
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11.87California State University Monterey Bay-1.390.0%1st Place
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16.49University of California at San Diego-2.520.0%1st Place
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16.31Arizona State University-2.530.0%1st Place
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9.94University of California at Santa Cruz-0.990.0%1st Place
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11.0University of California at Santa Cruz-1.240.0%1st Place
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16.11Arizona State University-2.340.0%1st Place
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11.22-1.260.0%1st Place
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11.69University of California at Irvine-1.370.0%1st Place
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12.27Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francesco Olivero | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Nigel Lipps | 41.6% | 26.4% | 14.5% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hali Aniol | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 11.2% | 11.6% | 14.5% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blair Caccam | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 1.8% |
| Dashel Peters | 1.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Sophia Jacobs | 4.6% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jonah Brees | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Tobie Bloom | 5.0% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Deven Douglas | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.0% |
| Conor Kuzmack | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% |
| Xinyu Zhou | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 2.7% |
| Jason Gronich | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.0% |
| Elizaveta Pertseva | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 11.6% | 16.0% | 23.4% |
| Katherine Pearson | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 12.8% | 25.8% |
| Ryan Martin | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Jeremy Burke | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Mary Spearman | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 16.2% | 18.7% |
| Macy Rowe | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Neil Gompf | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.2% |
| Chris Haugen | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.